Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.420430 0.491573 0.571426 0.667769 0.780974 0.909911 1.068118
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.317891 0.413112 0.532106 0.692113 0.902271 1.169768 1.537519
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.257169 0.359107 0.496177 0.694728 0.976352 1.363553 1.939916
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.219851 0.325417 0.476064 0.707950 1.058244 1.571418 2.387227
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.185533 0.288591 0.443314 0.694196 1.094276 1.713360 2.755245
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.160570 0.261029 0.418824 0.686870 1.135586 1.864957 3.157246
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.142683 0.241474 0.403183 0.689836 1.191579 2.044962 3.630597
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.133763 0.235113 0.407586 0.725882 1.307052 2.339009 4.345332
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.125638 0.228759 0.410731 0.759449 1.421900 2.646770 5.132137
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.116887 0.219945 0.408068 0.781521 1.517828 2.932081 5.919779
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.107340 0.208286 0.398486 0.788764 1.585601 3.171979 6.653376
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.097309 0.194339 0.382675 0.781336 1.622520 3.354813 7.295920
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.086884 0.178541 0.361769 0.761794 1.633976 3.491771 7.873549
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.082335 0.174186 0.363405 0.789777 1.751146 3.871120 9.060281
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.075988 0.165181 0.354157 0.792773 1.813388 4.138509 10.032312
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.071358 0.159262 0.350666 0.807926 1.905158 4.485770 11.255451
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.064845 0.148311 0.334720 0.792163 1.921756 4.658706 12.072681
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.059580 0.139549 0.322614 0.783768 1.954863 4.876191 13.042687
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.055634 0.133388 0.315758 0.787166 2.017840 5.177403 14.289649
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.054342 0.133444 0.323645 0.828480 2.184376 5.770070 16.449383
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.052896 0.132935 0.330080 0.866960 2.349276 6.383990 18.783909
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.050800 0.130519 0.331450 0.892266 2.482208 6.931449 21.025020
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.048006 0.125956 0.326778 0.900571 2.568894 7.362668 22.993398